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Dutton Utilizes ‘Donald Trump Anti-Migration Strategy’ in Proposal to Cut International Student Numbers, Claims Higher Education Peak Body | Australian Election 2025

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A Controversial Proposal: Coalition’s Cap on International Students

The Australian political landscape has been rocked by the Coalition’s recent proposal to significantly slash the number of international students allowed to study in the country. Accusations abound, with critics arguing that this initiative mirrors the "Donald Trump anti-migration card," a strategy designed to appeal to certain voter bases by limiting immigration and, by extension, international education.

The Details of the Proposal

On Sunday, Peter Dutton, the leader of the Coalition, unveiled a plan that restricts the intake of international students to 240,000 annually. This marks a staggering reduction of over 80,000 from the current 2023 levels. Under this proposed policy, there would be a cap of 115,000 students allowed in publicly funded universities—houses of education such as the University of Sydney and the University of Melbourne. Meanwhile, the vocational education and training (VET) sector could accommodate a combined total of 125,000 students across private universities, non-universities, and various institutes of higher education.

Financial Implications and Increased Fees

In a bid to raise revenue and potentially reduce the number of applicants, Dutton also indicated that the non-refundable student visa application fee would be increased. The proposal suggests a jump to $2,500 for general applications and a striking $5,000 for those applying to Group of Eight institutions. This would follow a previous move made last July by the Labor government when they hiked the fee from $710 to $1,600, already the highest among major competitor nations.

Dutton defended this policy by emphasizing the lucrative nature of the international student sector for universities, stating that they have reaped billions over recent years. However, he pointed to concerns about the supposed impact of international students on the housing market, a claim that experts have begun to scrutinize critically.

Concerns from the Education Sector

The Coalition’s proposal has elicited sharp criticism from leaders within the educational community. Vicki Thomson, the CEO of the Group of Eight, expressed disbelief that the government would impose additional burdens on Australia’s highest-ranking universities, suggesting that this approach reveals a broader isolationist policy agenda detrimental to the reputation of Australian education.

Phil Honeywood, CEO of the International Education Association of Australia, accused Dutton of resorting to politicized tactics reminiscent of Trump-era immigration policies. He argued that the cuts serve to punish public universities that traditionally do not align politically with the Coalition, raising concerns about the future stability of the VET sector.

The Shifting Landscape of International Education

While Dutton’s announcement proposes substantial caps on public university admissions, it appears to favor the private VET sector. This is particularly alarming as Abul Rizvi, a former senior immigration official, referred to these caps as "inherently poor" policy tools that fail to elevate the quality of education or courses being offered. Rizvi articulated concerns that targeting public universities while maintaining VET caps poses a risk of amplifying issues already prevalent in private educational institutions, which have been noted for malpractice and inadequate standards.

Economic Ramifications

The broader economic implications of this policy are equally concerning. Universities Australia CEO Luke Sheehy warned that such draconian cuts could inflict a $5 billion blow to Australia’s economy, with approximately $1.2 billion directly impacting the Group of Eight institutions. The Business Council of Australia voiced similar concerns, suggesting that the plan would undermine an education sector valued at over $50 billion annually, without effectively addressing the ongoing housing crisis.

Enrollment Trends and Future Prospects

Recent data illustrate a downward trend in international student enrollments, which can be attributed to these proposed changes as well as the previous hikes in visa application fees. The temporary student visa grants saw a staggering decrease of 34.7% in the 2023-24 period compared to the previous year. Interestingly, the VET sector, which the Coalition’s proposal seeks to bolster at the expense of public universities, has experienced a remarkable growth rate of 40% since 2019.

In contrast, enrollments in higher education—a stalwart of Australia’s educational reputation—have only improved by 13%. As these numbers continue to fluctuate, many worry that the proposed caps could deter prospective students from considering Australia as a viable study destination.

The Coalition’s latest policy suggests a fundamental shift in how Australia sees international students—not just as students, but as commodities in a broader political game. As voices across the education and business sectors rise in protest, the ramifications of these proposals on the nation’s educational landscape remain uncertain.

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